Recap WGC-Workday Championship

2021 WGC Workday Champions Tournament Recap: All In on Collin

Boom! Took one week off but we are right in the winners circle for our second Outright cash in 3 weeks. Collin Morikawa put on a masterclass with his irons in the The Concession’s inaugural PGA Tour event, coasting to an easy 3-stroke victory at the WGC Workday Championship with a final -18 score. Brooks Koepke, Viktor Hovland, Billy Horschel, Scottie Scheffler, and Webb Simpson each had surges, but ultimately were never able to put the pressure on for the back nine on Sunday.

I highlighted Collin in my Final Thoughts article, which you can check out as a look back on the thought process. I was only apprehensive about the Saw Grip putter experiment, but all signs point to that not going away any time soon. Here’s a look back at the card in review, the good, the bad, and closing thoughts ahead of next week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Outrights

  • Daniel Berger +3000: -3 (T35)
  • Joaquin Niemann +4200: -5 (T28)
  • Sungjae Im +4500: -5 (T28)
  • Collin Morikawa +4650: -18 (WIN)
  • Will Zalatoris +7000: -6 (T22)
  • Bubba Watson +11000: +5 (T54)
  • Gary Woodland +20000: +1 (43)

Matchups (Season Total: 15-9-1)

  • Collin Morikawa -117 > Cameron Smith (W)
  • Marc Leishman +105 > Matthew Wolff (W)
  • Webb Simpson +105 > Bryson DeChambeau (W)

One & Done

  • Dustin Johnson: T45

The Good

We won again! Collin Morikawa checked two boxes for me this week: young player who wouldn’t be disadvantaged by inexperience, and exceptional approach player who can stick it in the right areas of these large, undulated greens. He was the first bet I placed this week when odds opened after I saw him at +4650. By the end of the week, I added him to my Matchup card and most of my DFS lineups, just hoping the putter would get hot. I could’ve never imagined he would be this dominant, but I will take it.

I’ve had two clean sweeps on Matchup parlays and they’ve coincidentally both come when I’ve hit the outright in that tournament. Hey when I’m hot, I’m hot! In a no-cut event, matchups are never supposed to feel safe, but after cashing against Wolff following his R1 WD, I carried a 10-stroke lead with both Webb over Bryson and Morikawa over Cam Smith heading into Sunday. Never a doubt, and my heart appreciates it. Not too bad of a follow up to last week’s 0-3 performance.

The Bad

What an abysmal showing from Dustin Johnson this week. I got the game theory thought process right, nailing DJ at a low 7% owned in OAD for the 6th highest-paying event on Tour. But instead what we got from the world #1 Florida resident was his worst outing since his MC at the Memorial last July. I guess the learning here is to lay off of DJ on Jack Nicklaus courses.

The outright cash helps make it a lot easier to overlook the other duds on the card, but if not for Collin’s dominance, the rest of this card – outrights and placing bets – looks pretty ugly. Wiesberger was one of the worst players in the event this week, and Leishman had a difficult time avoiding hazards off the tee.

Closing Thoughts

This was a really rewarding week for me, in all honesty. There was not any substantial information you could find on this track, and I really needed to grind resources across the internet to piece together a strategy in my Tournament Preview. In the end, my formula was to identify great Approach players, young guys, and Florida residents, and if you look at the Final Leaderboard – Morikawa, Hovland, Koepke, Horschel, Scheffler – they all fit at least one of those criteria.

We’re still just getting started and we learn more and more each week on this site, but it feels good to be in the green with 2 early outright cashes in the young 2021 season. Here’s to staying hot at the Arnold Palmer Invitational next week!