AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Recap

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2021 Full Event Recap: Daniel Berger Fulfills The MC Prophecy

Fool me twice, shame on me, but you’ll never fool me thrice! The Prophecy was well documented, and after being one week too early on Patrick Reed and Brooks Koepke, we were not going to miss out on Daniel Berger coming off his MC at the WMPO. This fledgling website has been live for one month to the day today, and it feels great to break through for our first outright cash after so many close calls.

Berger aside, all the research really paid dividends this week. We got our first 3/3 Matchup Parlay to cash, and a risky Tringale OAD pick paid off with a strong T7 finish. While I didn’t end up playing Maverick McNealy this week, he was featured in Bombs & Values and finished solo 2nd. Hopefully you had more conviction in that play than I did!

Outrights

  • Daniel Berger +2000: -18 (WIN)
  • Francesco Molinari +3300: E (59)
  • Cameron Tringale +6600: -13 (T7)
  • Doug Ghim: +9000: -8 (T21)
  • Michael Thompson +12500: -5 (T34)
  • Vaughn Taylor +25000: -8 (T21)

This is usually where I talk about how I could’ve altered my process to get on the winner. Ha, not today! Man it feels good to win. As I touched on in My Final Thoughts, there’s just some magic in the air at Pebble Beach. Gary Woodland won me a new set of irons in 2019 and now we’re 2/2 on these grounds with Berger’s victory.

All outrights made it through the cut, which means we can officially close the book on the MC prophecy. I’m sure we’ll find a new narrative soon enough to learn from future trends in losses. For now, I guess just keep betting guys coming off MCs to win?

Matchups (Season Total: 12-6-1)

  • Kevin Streelman +120 > Will Zalatoris (W)
  • Rickie Fowler -120 > Alex Noren (W)
  • Daniel Berger -136 > Paul Casey (W)

At long last, a clean sweep! And what a time to get the first clean sweep of the season, since I doubled down and parlayed it +600. The 2021 season matchup record improves to a gorgeous 12-6-1.

Zalatoris squandered my MC prop, making it on the number, but ended up losing to Streelman by 10+ strokes. That may be the easiest + odds matchup we get to play all year. Rickie looked like his normal mediocre self, but another easy win over an even more reeling Noren, as they both played their way to an early exit. Berger maintained about a 2-3 stroke lead on Casey wire to wire. This was me doubling down on Berger as the presumptive winner, and it paid off!

One & Done

  • Cameron Tringale: T7

This was probably the best outcome we could’ve expected from Tringale, and having already used Berger in OAD at the Sony, I’m very content to take the T7 result and save the other big names in this Field (Cantlay, Day, Casey, Spieth) for a future event.

Final Thoughts

I really could not have run much hotter this week. The outrights and matchups cashed, OAD was strong, and I got my money back in DFS. I even doubled my money on Jock MKT playing Hank Lebioda! My one “regret” was playing Vaughn Taylor over Mav McNealy in DFS and outrights. I wrote up McNealy and he definitely had the upside, ranking as the best putter in the field and coming off a great finish at this event the year prior. I won’t lose sleep over a T21 from a +25000 player in Vaughn Taylor, but it was a missed opportunity to write up Mav and then not get myself any exposure to him. He’ll definitely be in play at the Genesis Invitational next week and in a much stronger field, I don’t expect much of a price increase for him, even after a solo 2nd.

Actually there is one more regret. My man Akshay Bhatia came out this week and hit every Green In Regulation on Thursday. I’m as bullish as they come on Akshay and I wasn’t there for him in his time of glory. Sure he finished T31, I just want it on record that the 19 year old star still has my full support. Please let this not be the last chance I had to bet him +60000.