Farmers Insurance Open Tournament Preview

Farmers Insurance Open 2021 Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Torrey Pines

Off to the greatest city in the history of mankind, San Diahgo, which of course in German means “Property Of Tiger Woods”.

Marred by the unfortunate “Farmer’s Insurance” title sponsorship, Torrey Pines is still one of the most beautiful tournament courses the United States has to offer. Luckily for us, we’ll get to see this course twice this year, as we’ll be coming back to these grounds for the US Open this June. Here’s what you can expect from Torrey Pines North & South this week.

Course Specs

  • Yards (North): 7,258
  • Yards (South): 7,439
  • Par (Both Courses): 72 (4x 3’s / 12x 4’s / 4x 5’s)
  • Historical Cut-Line: -1
  • Grass: Bent (North), Poa (South)
  • Comp Courses (North & South): Kapalua, CC of Jackson, Corales, Ridgewood CC, Stadium Course, Harding Park
  • Past Winners: Marc Leishman (20), Justin Rose (19), Jason Day (18), Jon Rahm (17), Brandt Snedeker (16)
  • Other Past Winners In The Field: Scott Stallings, Bubba Watson, Phil Mickelson, Nick Watney

Another week where I’m really not going to look too much into comp courses, as most of these are not Bent or Poa. But in terms of course profiles, it’s very difficult to hit these Fairways, so there is no correlation between Driving Accuracy and winning here. You don’t need to be long off the tee, but as always it doesn’t hurt. SG: Approach and Scrambling around the green will be key this week, as this will be a far cry from the Bermuda Birdie Fests we’ve seen the last few weeks.

Don’t expect any random winners this week. It’s a top-heavy field that requires 4 strong, all around rounds of golf to win. I’ll be concentrating my outright bets at 50/1 & below once those are released.

Key Stats

Note: SG: APP and SG: P are always key stats, however the below stats are meant to highlight important categories relative to average course layouts

  • Driving Distance
  • SG: ARG / SG: Short Game
  • Scrambling & Sand Saves Gained
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • 3-Putt Avoidance

Stats To Avoid

  • Driving Accuracy
  • Comp Course History
  • SG: Short Game at recent Bermuda tracks

What To Look Out For at the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open

Despite the absence of more heavyweights at the top (DJ, JT, Bryson, Webb, Cantlay, Tiger), this is still clearly the best field we’ve seen yet in 2021, headlined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau, and Brooks Koepke.

Pros love coming to Torrey Pines, and while the course is most notably dominated by Tiger Woods and his 7 career wins at the Farmers, there are plenty others in the field who have consistently been in contention year in, year out. Jason Day’s won this event twice in the last 6 years, also finishing Runner Up in 2014. Tony Finau has not won here, because he’s Tony Finau, but he has finished Top-20 in each of his last 5 trips here, including a T6 last year. Rory is coming off back-to-back Top-5s, Jon Rahm has a win and a Runner Up in the last 4 years, defending champion Marc Leishman also finished Runner Up here in 2015 & 2010, and former winner Brandt Snedeker has also shown consistent success here. On a second tier, Adam Scott, Hideki Matsuyama, Ryan Palmer, and Gary Woodland have all consistently played well here, despite having not won at Torrey Pines before. One player who surprisingly has never been able to find success here is Xander Schauffelle. In 6 career trips to this event, he has 1 T25 and 5 MCs.

In short, you need a tactical approach to perform well here, so like Augusta, it favors skilled players with experience over bombers and newcomers.

2 comments

  1. Thanks for the course preview. Never bet this tournament before, worth fading the young studs? Might be time to bet Patrick Reed when everyone’s off him. Deki interests me. Will back Palmer too. Hope they throw a 100-1 on him or something ridiculous.

    1. Not to say young studs can’t perform well here (Jon Rahm was 22 when he won this in is debut in 2017), but history shows that this course favors a strategic approach from experienced players. All the names you mentioned are very much in play!

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