Final Bets Sony Open

Sony Open – Final Betting Card

Outrights

  • Russell Henley +4000
  • Brendon Todd +5500
  • Talor Gooch +9000 (+ T10)
  • Tom Hoge +11000 (+ T10)
  • Brian Stuard +25000 (+ T10)

I’ve written up all these guys earlier in the week (save Todd, who I just want to play on a short course that discounts Driving Distance). Just know that a majority of my units are on Henley, who I love for a laundry list of reasons here.

First Round Leader

  • Sebastian Munoz +6000
  • Emiliano Grillo +6600
  • Cameron Davis +8000

After a disrespectful First Round Last place from Munoz last week, he quickly reminded us the rest of the tournament why he’s a staple play to lead the field in any given round. Grillo and Davis are more fliers who fit the course well and are priced at good values.

Matchups

  • Webb (-118) > English
  • Palmer (-110) > Niemann
  • Gooch (-106) > Bradley

I’ll take Webb against anyone in this field at -118. Expect some regression, especially putting, from English who comes in off a high from last week’s victory.

This course really suits Palmer’s strengths and does not play into Niemann’s, who typically gains OTT. Niemann is still a volatile putter too, so i like this as a sell-high spot against Joaquin.

Keegan Bradley is the worst putter on Tour. Yes, his ball striking has been great lately, but if you can’t putt it doesn’t matter, and he’s shown no signs of getting any better as of late. Talor Gooch on the other hand is clicking in all aspects of his game coming into this event.

One And Done

  • Daniel Berger

I’ve had an awful track record in my inaugural OAD season so I’m pivoting my strategy to hedge onto strong players I don’t have exposure to otherwise. Just know in my heart I wanted this to be Henley, I just can’t stomach putting my OAD curse on him.

DFS Core

  • Russell Henley ($8,700)
  • Zach Johnson ($8,500)
  • Brian Harman ($7,800)

There’s a lot of inherent risk to DFS golf so in full fields, my goal is always to get 6/6 through the cut. Fortunately this week, we’re getting a nice discount on Russell Henley who I expect to win, so that allows for a more balanced build. This core 3 should comfortably get through to the weekend with T10 equity and allow some salary flexibility to fill out your lineup from here.